Perhaps is not appreciated enough just how hard it is to predict properties of quantum many-body systems. New phases of matter continue to be discovered: liquid crystals, quasicrystals, antiferromagnets, superfluids, …. Yet I am only aware of one case where a new state of matter was predicted and then discovered; that is Bose-Einstein condensates in dilute atomic gases were predicted.
Quantum chemistry involves using Schrodinger’s equation to calculate properties of molecules. It has many successes at calculating observed properties of small molecules. However, a measure of its limitations is the citation that one of the world leaders in the field, Fritz Schaefer, received for award of the Centenary Medal of the Royal Society of Chemistry in 1992: ``the first theoretical chemist successfully to challenge the accepted conclusions of a distinguished experimental group for a polyatomic molecule, namely methylene.”
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In his classic More is Different paper, Phil Anderson emphasised that the success of methodological micro-reductionism does not imply a constructivist hypothesis: if we know the laws of one strata we can deduce the laws of the next strata above. Since making predictions from one strata to the next is so difficult, if not impossible, an a posteriori approach rather than an a priori approach is often necessary.
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